Wednesday, January 4, 2012

How Obama is the Winner in the Iowa Caucuses

Your Black World reports.

Analysts are saying that President Obama is the winner in the Iowa caucuses Tuesday night.  Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum went down to the wire in a heated battle, with Romney barely emerging with his front-runner status in tact.

The fact that Romney had to work so hard to defeat Santorum is a reminder of how difficult it is going to be for him to win over his conservative base.  This is good news for President Obama, who has long expected to be challenged by Romney in the 2012 presidential election.

"Democratic heavyweights are quietly celebrating tonight," David Gergen, a former adviser to two Republican and two Democratic presidents, told Reuters. "They see the presumed (Republican) nominee, Mitt Romney, unable to close the deal and a Republican electorate not only uncertain, but lacking great enthusiasm."

Gergen also said that while the Republicans fight it out, the Obama campaign has time to prepare its message for the public. 

Newt Gingrich and Rick Perry were also-rans in the caucuses.  This is a big shift from just two weeks ago, when Gingrich appeared to be able to challenge Romney as the front-runner.  An independent group in support of Romney put out damaging television ads that hurt the Gingrich campaign’s public image.

Romney is expected to win in New Hampshire, but Gingrich is heavily favored in South Carolina and Florida.  Some believe that Rick Perry is considering leaving the campaign altogether.

The big threat now is Rick Santorum.  Santorum, who wasn’t expected to be a significant contender in the election, is now positioned to raise money and appeal to the public as an anti-Romney conservative.  Santorum made news last week when he characterized African Americans as welfare recipients.


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